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03/12/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Boston Celtics will be attempting to avoid a third straight loss when the Atlantic Division leaders host the road-challenged Indiana Pacers tonight at TD Garden.
Boston followed up a two-point setback at red-hot Milwaukee on Tuesday with a forgettable home loss to Memphis the following night. The 111-91 defeat to the Grizzlies matched a 108-88 loss to powerhouse Cleveland as the Celtics' most lopsided of the season.
Memphis rolled to a 27-12 lead after one quarter and quickly extended the margin to 20 points early in the second. The Grizzlies kept pouring it on and took a commanding 55-33 advantage into halftime.
"I think it speaks for itself," said Boston's Kevin Garnett of the loss. "They came in and just totally annihilated us, nothing to it. I thought we played hard in spurts, but (it) seemed like whatever they threw up it went in."
Rajon Rondo and Ray Allen each scored 17 points to lead the Celtics. Garnett managed only six points and shot 3-of-9 from the field on the night.
Boston, which last lost three in a row between January 28-31, still owns a comfortable eight-game lead over second-place Toronto in the Atlantic Division. The Celtics trail Southeast leader Orlando by 4 1/2 games for the No. 2 playoff seed in the Eastern Conference. Atlanta is four games behind.
A matchup with the Pacers, who stand last in the Central Division and 14th in the East with a 21-43 record, may help the Celtics get back on track. Indiana has lost six straight and nine of its last 10 outings on the road and is a woeful 7-27 as the guest this season.
The Pacers have also dropped four straight and eight of its last games at TD Garden, including a 103-94 decision there back on December 22. In addition, Boston has prevailed in seven of the past nine overall meetings in this series.
Indiana does head to Beantown on a winning note, however, after besting Philadelphia by a 107-96 count on Tuesday. The Pacers won despite having leading scorer Danny Granger unavailable due to a one-game suspension for a fight with Phoenix's Channing Frye in Saturday's 113-105 loss to the Suns.
Granger, averaging 23.1 points and 5.7 rebounds for the season, will be back in the lineup for this evening's tilt.
Dahntay Jones and Brandon Rush both stepped up in Granger's absence, with the former tying a season best with 25 points and the latter compiling 24 points and nine rebounds. Troy Murphy chipped in 19 points for Indiana and center Roy Hibbert had a strong all-around game, finishing with 12 points, 11 rebounds and seven assists from the post.
"Roy did a good job tonight of distributing the ball," Rush said. "He gave the ball to the open person, which repeatedly ended up in buckets."
<< Playoff-bound Cavs make a stop in south Philly
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - A large lead atop the Central Division and playoff berth
already sewed up has allowed the Cleveland Cavaliers to give LeBron James some
rest for the stretch run. The reigning NBA MVP is expected to return from his
two-gam
<< Spurs, Wolves square off in Twin Cities
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The San Antonio Spurs will try to continue their mastery of
the Minnesota Timberwolves when the two Western Conference inhabitants get
together tonight at the Target Center.
San Antonio has won 10 straight and 15 of the pa
<< Sabres try to run win streak to four games versus Wild
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Buffalo Sabres will aim for a fourth consecutive
victory when they welcome the Minnesota Wild for an interconference clash at
HSBC Arena.
The Sabres' three-game winning streak is the club's longest since a season-
bes
<< Desperate Grizzlies welcome Knicks to Memphis
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Memphis Grizzlies are still alive in the Western
Conference playoff race, but time is running short. Tonight they'll begin a
three-game homestand versus the New York Knicks at FedEx Forum with hopes of
gaining ground in t
Sliding Ducks host Predators >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Anaheim Ducks aim for their first win in nearly a month
tonight when they host a Nashville Predators club that is struggling to hold
onto one of the last playoff spots in the Western Conference.
The Ducks have dropped
Bucks, Jazz to square off in battle of surging clubs >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Two of the NBA's hottest teams clash in Brew City tonight
as the Utah Jazz pay a visit to the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Jazz won their fourth straight contest and improved to 2-0 on a four-game
road trip Wednesday in Auburn Hil
Stars return home to face Williams and Kings >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Stars haven't done much to further their playoff
chances since the Olympic break, but an upcoming six-game homestand for a team
that has been strong this year as the host could do the trick.
Dallas begins that residenc
Lakers visit Phoenix for key Pacific showdown >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The two top teams in the Pacific Division meet for the last
time in the regular season tonight, when the second-place Phoenix Suns welcome
the front-running Los Angeles Lakers to the U.S. Airways Center.
The defending NBA
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The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.
While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.
For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.
1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.
2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.
How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.
Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.
Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.
How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).
Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.
Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.
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